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Long-Term Indicators

Cycle top & bottom prediction

18 macro and on-chain indicators for identifying Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms.

BTC/USDT
BTC — Weekly
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Long-Term Indicators18

Macro Correlation IndexMCI

Proprietary macro-to-crypto correlation engine with adaptive channel boundaries. Detects divergence between global monetary conditions and BTC price action.

Cycle Band SystemCBS

Multi-layer dynamic band model that adapts to long-term market maturity. Upper and lower bands define macro cycle extremes with built-in diminishing return adjustment.

Multi-Asset Valuation LevelsMAV

Cross-market relative valuation model with dynamic support and resistance zones. Identifies macro price levels from inter-asset capital flow patterns.

Fundamental Floor ModelFFM

Network-derived fundamental price floor with 5 macro zone levels. Price entering the lower zone historically marks generational accumulation opportunities.

Cycle Phase DetectorCPD

Proportional multi-line system tuned for cycle phase detection. Generates TOP and BOTTOM signals at key structural crossover points.

Market Phase ThermometerMPT

Multi-factor scoring system (0-100) tracking capital rotation across market phases. Identifies accumulation, trend, euphoria, and capitulation stages.

Liquidity Condition IndexLCI

Composite liquidity model normalized to 0-100. Compares macro liquidity conditions to BTC price for divergence and confluence signals.

Positioning Sentiment GaugePSG

Derivatives market positioning analysis. Extreme ranges signal potential reversals based on crowd sentiment and leverage concentration patterns.

Cycle Turning Point SystemCTP

Dual-pair trend system with halving markers. Upper pair detects cycle tops, lower pair detects cycle bottoms. Historically identified every major market turning point.

Market Emotion IndexMEI

On-chain sentiment oscillator tracking unrealized market state. Extreme readings identify euphoria zones (sell) and capitulation zones (buy).

Global Expansion MonitorGEM

Tracks global monetary expansion dynamics across major economies. Positive expansion phases historically correlate with crypto bull markets.

Fair Value Deviation ScoreFVD

On-chain fair value model with statistical normalization. Measures how far current price deviates from network-implied fair value. Extreme readings mark cycle tops and bottoms.

Network Revenue PulseNRP

Network revenue analysis relative to long-term average. Extreme high readings signal overheated conditions; extreme low readings signal distressed conditions.

Network Energy ModelNEM

Measures price relative to cumulative network security expenditure. Multiple display modes reveal deviation from long-term fundamental equilibrium.

Smart Risk GaugeSRG

Advanced risk-adjusted performance metric focused on downside risk. Higher values indicate stronger risk-adjusted returns in the current market phase.

Market Leverage PulseMLP

Aggregated leverage sentiment across derivatives markets. Green zones signal overheated positioning, red zones signal depressed sentiment — both are potential reversal areas.

Performance Quality ScorePQS

Risk-adjusted performance metric measuring return quality relative to volatility. Extreme positive values signal potential tops; extreme negative values signal potential bottoms.

Scarcity Valuation RainbowSVR

Proprietary scarcity-based valuation model with rainbow gradient zones. Maps price against supply dynamics to identify overvaluation and undervaluation phases across market cycles.

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